December 2022 Market Update


The real estate market in 2022 has experienced significant changes, primarily influenced by rising mortgage rates. However, there is some good news on the horizon. This blog post will delve into the current state of mortgage rates, home sales, and home price forecasts, providing insights and advice for both sellers and buyers in the challenging real estate landscape of 2023.

  1. Mortgage Rates: From Rise to Recovery The year 2022 witnessed a surge in mortgage rates, starting at approximately 3.2% and peaking at 6.5%. The sudden increase had an impact on the real estate market. However, experts from Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), and the National Association of Realtors (NAR) predict a gradual decline in mortgage rates throughout 2023. This projection brings hope to prospective homebuyers and suggests a potential window of opportunity.

  2. Home Sales: A Declining Trend Not only did the national real estate market experience a decrease in home sales in 2022, but this trend is also expected to continue into 2023. Even in Metro Richmond, we have witnessed a decline of approximately 3,000 home sales compared to the previous year. This decline may have an impact on individual real estate agents, requiring them to adapt and strategize accordingly.

  3. Home Price Forecasts: Assessing the Outlook The housing market in Metro Richmond has seen a commendable growth of 10.6% since the same time last year. However, the predictions for 2023 offer a mixed bag of expectations. Reputable sources project a range of possibilities, with an average forecast of a 0.4% increase in home prices. Notably, certain markets that experienced significant appreciation, such as California, Texas, and Florida, may witness a more substantial pullback. Thankfully, Richmond Metro is not expected to face the same level of depreciation.

Advice for Sellers:

  • Take A Chill Pill: Despite the anticipated decline in home sales, it's essential not to panic. Maintaining a calm and composed mindset will help you navigate the market effectively.
  • Chat Through A Plan Now: Engage with your real estate agent to develop a strategic plan tailored to the current conditions. Proactive communication and collaboration can make a significant difference.
  • Don't Underestimate The Charm Factor: With fewer buyers in the market, it becomes crucial to enhance the appeal of your home. Focus on staging, curb appeal, and highlighting unique features to attract potential buyers.

Advice for Buyers:

  • Armageddon Is Not Coming: While the market may present challenges, it's important not to get caught up in the negativity. Remember that real estate is a long-term investment, and opportunities exist even in uncertain times.
  • Recheck Your Mortgage Tables: With mortgage rates expected to gradually decrease, reassess your mortgage options. Explore different lenders and loan programs to ensure you secure the best possible rate.
  • Plan Early: Given the projected decline in home sales, being prepared and acting swiftly can give you a competitive advantage. Start your home search early, conduct thorough research, and be ready to make informed decisions.

Conclusion: As the real estate market heads into 2023, the dynamics of mortgage rates, home sales, and home prices are evolving. While challenges lie ahead, there are opportunities for both sellers and buyers to navigate the market successfully. By staying informed, collaborating with professionals, and adopting a strategic approach, you can make informed decisions and achieve your real estate goals in the coming year.


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