Where Do Central Virginia Home Prices Go From Here? (July 2024)

What's In Store for Home Prices in Metro Richmond for the Remainder of 2024? (July 2024)

Hello, everyone! Welcome to our latest blog post where we explore the current real estate trends in Metro Richmond, Virginia, and share predictions for home prices as we move through the rest of 2024. Whether you’re a prospective homebuyer, a seller, or just curious about the local market, this post is packed with valuable insights.

Current Market Overview

As we progress through 2024, it’s crucial to understand the dynamics of Metro Richmond's real estate market. So far this year, we’ve seen significant changes, particularly in home prices. Here's a detailed look at where we stand right now:

  • Median Home Price: At the start of the year in January, the median home price in Metro Richmond was $367,000. By the end of May, this number had risen to $402,000. This represents a substantial increase of 9.5% in just a few months.
  • New Listings: When examining the number of new listings, it’s evident that we are experiencing lower inventory compared to previous years. During the summer of 2023, the market peaked at around 1,500 homes in one month. This year, we’re anticipating a peak of approximately 1,600 homes, which is still well below the typical pre-pandemic levels of 2,000 to 2,500 new listings per month.

Supply and Demand Dynamics

Understanding the balance between supply and demand is crucial for predicting future market trends. Let’s dive into some key metrics that highlight this balance in Metro Richmond:

  • Days on Market: Currently, the median time a property stays on the market before going under contract is just 6 days. This quick turnover indicates a strong demand for homes in the area.
  • Sale Price vs. Asking Price: Homes in Metro Richmond are selling for an average of 10.4% above their asking price. This suggests that buyers are willing to pay a premium, likely due to the limited availability of homes.

What’s Driving These Trends?

Several factors contribute to the current trends in Metro Richmond’s real estate market:

  1. Limited Supply: The number of new listings remains below the historical average. This low inventory is likely a result of various economic and social factors, including lingering effects of the pandemic, which have affected homeowners' willingness or ability to sell.

  2. High Demand: Despite the limited supply, demand for homes in Metro Richmond remains robust. This demand is driven by a combination of factors such as favorable mortgage rates, strong local economy, and attractive living conditions in the region.

Predictions for the Rest of 2024

Given the current market dynamics, we have some insights into what you can expect for the remainder of the year:

  • Continued Price Appreciation: We predict that home prices will continue to rise through the rest of 2024. Our initial forecast anticipated a 5-10% appreciation in median sales prices for the year, and current trends support this prediction.
  • No Significant Price Decline: Despite a potential slowdown in the rate of appreciation, we don’t foresee any depreciation in home prices. The combination of limited supply and sustained demand suggests that prices will remain stable or continue to increase, albeit at a potentially slower pace.


In summary, the Metro Richmond real estate market is showing strong signs of continued growth and stability. For buyers, it means acting swiftly in a competitive market. For sellers, it suggests that it’s a good time to consider listing your property as prices are likely to remain high.

If you have any questions or need personalized advice, feel free to reach out. You can drop a comment below or contact us directly for more information. Stay tuned for more updates and insights into the real estate market.


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